inkisaf.az
\nRusiya Hidrometeorologiya M\u0259rk\u0259zinin Britaniya analoqunun klimatoloqlar\u0131 deyirl\u0259r ki, yax\u0131n iki il tarixin \u0259n q\u0131z\u011f\u0131n ili olacaq. Qar\u015f\u0131dan g\u0259l\u0259n istil\u0259rin s\u0259b\u0259bi elm adamlar\u0131na yax\u015f\u0131 m\u0259lumdur – El Nino fenomeni. O v\u0259 onun h\u0259mkar\u0131 La Nina Yerin iqlim sisteminin \u0259sas h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259tvericil\u0259ridir.<\/p>\n
Britaniyal\u0131 aliml\u0259rin proqnozlar\u0131.
\nEl Ni\u00f1o v\u0259 La Ni\u00f1a okean s\u0259thind\u0259 anormal temperatur dal\u011falanmalar\u0131d\u0131r. La Ni\u00f1o “yand\u0131qda” okean\u0131n ekvator zonalar\u0131nda su soyuyur, El Nino vaxt\u0131 g\u0259l\u0259nd\u0259 su q\u0131z\u0131r. Planetd\u0259ki iqlim \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn b\u00fct\u00fcn sonrak\u0131 n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 Sonuncu d\u0259f\u0259 “El” 2016-c\u0131 ild\u0259 m\u00f6vcud olub v\u0259 bu, h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 meteoroloji m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259l\u0259r tarixind\u0259 \u0259n isti olaraq qal\u0131r. Onu \u0259v\u0259zl\u0259y\u0259n \u201cLa\u201d bir ne\u00e7\u0259 il ard\u0131c\u0131l i\u015fl\u0259yib v\u0259 indi onun \u0259ks m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259sinin n\u00f6vb\u0259si g\u0259lir. El Nino, \u00e7ox g\u00fcman ki, ilin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda – avqust v\u0259 oktyabr aylar\u0131 aras\u0131nda \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6st\u0259r\u0259c\u0259k. T\u0259bi\u0259t hadis\u0259si t\u0259dric\u0259n \u201calovlanacaq\u201d ki, bu da g\u0259l\u0259n q\u0131\u015f\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u0259mi\u015f istil\u0259\u015fm\u0259sin\u0259 v\u0259 2024-c\u00fc ild\u0259 rekord q\u0131ran isti yaya g\u0259tirib \u00e7\u0131xaracaq. Bu, britaniyal\u0131 aliml\u0259rin proqnozudur.<\/p>\n
\u015e\u0259rh
\nVladimir Semenov, Rusiya Elml\u0259r Akademiyas\u0131n\u0131n Atmosfer Fizikas\u0131 \u0130nstitutunun direktor m\u00fcavini, akademik:<\/p>\n
– \u0130ndi ingilisl\u0259rin d\u0259rc etdiyi bel\u0259 birm\u0259nal\u0131 proqnozlarla t\u0259l\u0259sm\u0259zdim. H\u0259qiq\u0259t\u0259n, La Nina sona \u00e7at\u0131r, lakin El Nino’nun d\u0259rhal ba\u015flamas\u0131 he\u00e7 d\u0259 vacib deyil. Onlar\u0131n aras\u0131nda uzun neytral fazalar var. V\u0259ziyy\u0259t yazda ayd\u0131nla\u015fmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n
\u00dcmumiyy\u0259tl\u0259, proqnozlarla son d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259 diqq\u0259tli olmaq laz\u0131md\u0131r. Bu g\u00fcn elm bir h\u0259ft\u0259 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn y\u00fcks\u0259k ehtimalla, orta ehtimalla – bir ay qabaqda olan havan\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131ra bilir. Art\u0131q a\u015fkar tendensiyalar\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alaraq, yax\u0131n 15-20 il \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn iqlimi kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259qiq proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rmaq m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Amma yax\u0131n 1-5 il proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rmaq \u0259n \u00e7\u0259tindir. Burada s\u0259hv ehtimal\u0131 \u00e7ox y\u00fcks\u0259kdir. T\u0259cr\u00fcb\u0259 g\u00f6st\u0259rir ki, \u00e7ox vaxt proqnozlar \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc do\u011frultmur.<\/p>\n
El-Ninonun iqlim\u0259 birba\u015fa t\u0259sirin\u0259 g\u0259linc\u0259, bunu ekvator zonalar\u0131na daha yax\u0131n olan \u00f6lk\u0259l\u0259r daha \u00e7ox hiss edirl\u0259r, lakin Avropada bu t\u0259sir o q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259 hiss olunmur. Ona g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 bu \u0259razil\u0259r, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n Rusiya \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn f\u0259lak\u0259tli proqnozlar verm\u0259zdim. S\u0259hv ehtimal\u0131 olduqca y\u00fcks\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n
N\u0259hay\u0259t, El Nino-nun t\u0259sirl\u0259rind\u0259n birini qeyd etm\u0259k laz\u0131md\u0131r. O, atmosferin dinamikas\u0131n\u0131 d\u0259yi\u015fdir\u0259 bilir ki, bir \u00e7ox uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli bloklayan antisiklonlara s\u0259b\u0259b olsun. Burada 2010-cu ili xat\u0131rlaya bil\u0259rik, o zaman Moskvada anomal istil\u0259r, Uraldan k\u0259narda is\u0259 anomal soyuqlar m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunurdu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
inkisaf.az Rusiya Hidrometeorologiya M\u0259rk\u0259zinin Britaniya analoqunun klimatoloqlar\u0131 deyirl\u0259r ki, yax\u0131n iki il tarixin \u0259n q\u0131z\u011f\u0131n ili olacaq. Qar\u015f\u0131dan g\u0259l\u0259n istil\u0259rin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":200,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-elm-thsil"],"yoast_head":"\n